White blue collar voters who normally vote democrat in states like Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan and Indiana stay home because they won't vote for a black guy, if McCain wins two of those states a long with Florida he will win.

The idea that the wacky Christian right will stay home because McCain doesn't dance around with snakes while speaking in tounges is way off, Obama is super liberal and black they will turn out in record numbers to vote against him.

But McCain could get thumped in a landslide if has a senior citizen falling down moment like Dole did in 1996 and Janet Reno had when she ran for Governor of Florida.