In your estimation, how soon until a nuclear weapon is again used in a destructive/aggressive/warlike manner? The last time this occurred was on the Korean peninsula in 1951. No I mean upon the island nation of Japan at the ass end of what is now called "World War Two". My intuition tells me, without revourse to a very extensive knowledge of geopoltical history and current dispositions, that it will be within the next 17 months.