New England isn't playing like a top-tier team, and Brady isn't back to being in the same sentence as Manning or Brees. They need to win as often on merit as by pure chance before they're worth picking.

The Vikings problem is that Favre can't go 16 games, much less through the playoffs. No matter how well he does, even if he goes undefeated as long as he starts, someone else has to play those last few games. Who do they have to take on the defense of the Ravens, for example? And if he gets hurt early like last year you're looking at a repeat of last year.