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good lord....this shit is gold...im flying down there next week, in phoenix ...and i cannot wait to piss all you "red" americans off...
Don't laugh - there is a good chance MK-77 is right. Obama's voting record is solidly left and he owes a huge political debt to Ted Kennedy, moreso than anyone else. And the American public is solidly center-right, much to the right of Obama and Congress.
(Americans change their political leanings very slowly, over generations. They're quick to say "that guy's not doing the right thing" and vote for someone else but it's much much slower for a liberal to switch to conservative or vice versa - notice that McCain got within five points or so in the popular vote in spite of Bush, in spite of the wars, in spite of the bank panic, in spite of being outspent by 3x, in spite of everything McCain came close - that should be a warning sign)
Also the country is entering a recession that won't really start biting until after Obama takes office, and it's likely to be a long one since consumers need to adapt to *saving up* to buy things rather than just getting another credit card. How long will it take Californians to save up a 20% downpayment on a house? This won't be quick.
In short, Obama looks certain to go into 2010 in a recession with major job losses, possibly with GM in bankruptcy, troops still in Afghanistan and possibly Iraq, and nothing looking to improve immediately. And all that has a good chance of being true in 2012.
Working for Obama is that he seems to be quickly moving to the center. His most important economic adviser right now is Paul Volcker, decidedly not a tax & spend liberal. The other important advantage is that the Republicans may not be able to suppress the Reactionary Right part of the party and may nominate another Palin meathead.
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"If they can't picture me with a knife, forcing them to strip in an alley, I don't want any part of it. It's humiliating." - windsock