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#372382 - 11/04/08 12:36 AM Electoral College Preditors
Uomo Grassissimo!! Offline
Porn Jesus

Registered: 04/14/06
Posts: 14755
Loc: Busy downloading [LEGALLY!]
I've been following a bunch of electoral college predictors. Many have made their final predictions. Others I just used the most current I could find.
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#372383 - 11/04/08 12:38 AM Re: Electoral College Preditors
Uomo Grassissimo!! Offline
Porn Jesus

Registered: 04/14/06
Posts: 14755
Loc: Busy downloading [LEGALLY!]
78 have Obama Winning

2008 Central === 353 185
270 to Win.com === 286 157 95
3BlueDudes.com === 367 171
411 Mania === 362 176
Associated Press === 286 163 89
Bonncaruso's USA Politics === 356 160 22
Brains and Eggs === 353 185
CNN === 291 157 90
ColdHeartedTruth === 364 174
Colley Rankings === 367 171
Cook Political Report === 286 139 113
Day to Day Politics === 338 200
Dem Under === 378 160
DemConWatch === 337 201
DeSart and Holbrook === 349 189
Elect Blue === 364 174
Election Forecasts === 345 193
Election Inspection === 375 163
ElectionProjection.com === 353 185
Election-Projection.net === 367 171
Electoral Map === 364 174
Electoral Math === 353 185
Electoral Vote Predicter === 356 182
Electoral-Vote.com === 353 185
EvStatus.com === 291 132 115
Federal Review === 338 160 40
First Read (MSNBC) === 286 157 95
FiveThirtyEight === 346.5 191.5
Forecasting Principles === 360 178
Frontloading === 338 200
HedgeHog Report === 329 209
Here and There === 356 182
Hominid Views === 363 175
HubDub.com === 364 163 11
InTrade === 346 192
Isto Pensitaris === 364 174
Karl Rove === 338 200
Kevin Tracy === 375 163
LA Times === 291 174 73
Larry Sabato Crystal Ball === 364 164
Left of College Station === 353 185
Lindsay Politics === 364 174
Marc Ambinder, The Atlantic === 353 185
Mile High Delphi === 364 174
MyDD === 338 200
NPR === 291 247
NY Times === 291 163 84
On Politik === 291 151 88
Open Left === 353 185
Political Realm === 311 163 64
Political Science 216 === 294 244
Politico Swing State === 338 200
Poll Track === 278 142 118
Pollster.com === 311 142 85
Princeton Elect Consortium` === 352 186
Progressive Electorate === 375 163
Progressive Pensacola === 349 189
Progressive Review === 295 132 111
Purple Pondernation === 393 145
Race to 270 === 366 172
Rasmussen Reports === 313 174 51
Real Clear Politics === 338 200
Roll to the White House === 338 200
South Shore Progressive === 396 142
Spin Cycle === 291 247
The Captain's Log === 353 185
The Rothenberg Pol Report === 353 159 26
TocqueVille === 273 185 80
Trail Mix (C Crawford) === 345 193
Trendlines === 347 191
Vote for America === 377 161
Vote Projections === 338 185 15
Washington Post === 319 219
Whistle on the Baseline === 353 185
World According to Oatney === 286 252
World of Spike === 316 222
Yahoo News === 318 181 39
Zogby === 311 174 53
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#372384 - 11/04/08 12:38 AM Re: Electoral College Preditors
Uomo Grassissimo!! Offline
Porn Jesus

Registered: 04/14/06
Posts: 14755
Loc: Busy downloading [LEGALLY!]
1 Tossup

US Election Polls 11/3 268 213 57
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#372385 - 11/04/08 12:39 AM Re: Electoral College Preditors
Uomo Grassissimo!! Offline
Porn Jesus

Registered: 04/14/06
Posts: 14755
Loc: Busy downloading [LEGALLY!]
1 McCain winning

The Interested American 10/30 239 299


Clicky!!
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#372386 - 11/04/08 01:15 PM Re: Electoral College Preditors
the unknown pervert Offline
Porn Jesus

Registered: 03/22/07
Posts: 5186
Loc: Joshua Tree National Park
When I looked at the title I thought this was going to be about Electoral College Predators.
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I would eat Allie Sin's asshole until I got an emotion out of her.-Jerkules

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#372387 - 11/04/08 02:43 PM Re: Electoral College Preditors
ivorenginedriver Offline
Porn Fucking Master

Registered: 09/19/05
Posts: 3576
Loc: Baltimore, MD
IMO the five key "red" states where the polls close early are Indiana, Virginia, North Carolina, Florida, and Ohio. Bush carried all five in 2004, and any Obama victories in these states spells major trouble for the GOP.

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#372388 - 11/04/08 03:00 PM Re: Electoral College Preditors
Jigaloo Offline
Porn Jesus

Registered: 04/17/06
Posts: 7863
Vote GOP not OPP.
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#372389 - 11/05/08 12:42 PM Re: Electoral College Preditors
Uomo Grassissimo!! Offline
Porn Jesus

Registered: 04/14/06
Posts: 14755
Loc: Busy downloading [LEGALLY!]
Quote:

IMO the five key "red" states where the polls close early are Indiana, Virginia, North Carolina, Florida, and Ohio. Bush carried all five in 2004, and any Obama victories in these states spells major trouble for the GOP.




He seems to have carried all of them, though even this last, I haven't seen anyone call North Carolina [last I saw Obama was up by ~12k with pretty much everything counted].

I have to admit being nervous about the election when McCain was leading Virgina for so long ... even though I new NoVa wasn't reporting yet, I was wasn't sure.

I was surprised to see some call PA so early. And when I saw a few call Ohio, I didn't give a shit about Virginia anymore and called it OVER.

The Math = Kerry states + Ohio = Obama WIN.




The state that surprised me the most was Indiana. I would have thought Missouri well before Indiana since its more Democrat in my mind. [Some still have Missouri undeclared, but last I saw even MSNBC had it for McCain].
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#372390 - 11/05/08 12:43 PM Re: Electoral College Predictors
Uomo Grassissimo!! Offline
Porn Jesus

Registered: 04/14/06
Posts: 14755
Loc: Busy downloading [LEGALLY!]
Quote:

When I looked at the title I thought this was going to be about Electoral College Predators.




HA!!!

Sorry about the typo ...
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#372391 - 11/08/08 08:44 PM Re: Electoral College Predictors
Gunker Offline
Porn Jesus

Registered: 01/07/06
Posts: 4268
Loc: Portland
Fucking Missouri...





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#372392 - 11/22/08 07:36 PM Re: Electoral College Predictors
Gunker Offline
Porn Jesus

Registered: 01/07/06
Posts: 4268
Loc: Portland
http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/washington/2008/11/mccain-wins-11.html

"McCain wins Missouri's 11 electoral votes; Obama still president-elect

Fifteen days after the presidential election, John McCain was declared the unofficial winner of the state of Missouri, his 0.12% victory over Barack Obama delivering the Show Me State's 11 electoral votes to the Republican ticket.

Unfortunately for the Arizona Republican, that still leaves him on the short end of a 365-173 electoral total, with Democrat Obama easily topping the 270 mark needed for victory."

Way to go, douchebags...



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"My people (the real Americans- descended from the original Angle-Saxon pioneers)"-Coke S.

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#372393 - 11/23/08 08:40 PM Re: Electoral College Predictors
JRV Offline
Porn Jesus

Registered: 08/03/03
Posts: 5849
Loc: TX, USA
This is not like 1984 where Ronald Reagan almost made it unanimous. Reagan only lost Minnesota, and only by 3,800 votes.

The was a skit, I think SNL?, that had someone talking to "Walter Mondale" trying to get him to vote for Reagan too, so it would be unanimous. Hillarious!
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#372394 - 11/26/08 10:29 PM Re: Electoral College Preditors
Gunker Offline
Porn Jesus

Registered: 01/07/06
Posts: 4268
Loc: Portland
Quote:


3BlueDudes.com === 367 171
411 Mania === 362 176
ColdHeartedTruth === 364 174
Colley Rankings === 367 171
Election-Projection.net === 367 171
Electoral Map === 364 174
Hominid Views === 363 175
HubDub.com === 364 163 11
Isto Pensitaris === 364 174
Larry Sabato Crystal Ball === 364 164
Lindsay Politics === 364 174
MMile High Delphi === 364 174
Race to 270 === 366 172





The winners.

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"My people (the real Americans- descended from the original Angle-Saxon pioneers)"-Coke S.

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