CNN:




New York Times:




Washington Post:





And, using CNN's Handy Dandy Generator...

Mine:




The three states I'm not certain about are Pennsylvania, Nevada and New Hampshire.

I'm giving PA to Obama, despite his poor showing in the primary, and despite the fact that I don't believe Gov. Ed Rendell and the Clinton/DLC wing are going to exert themselves too hard for Obama there.

New Hampshire and Nevada have large percentages of Independents (I think it's 40% and 20%, respectively.) In New Hampshire, these tend to like McCain (and helped him win both of his primaries.) In Nevada, they tended to support Perot in '92 (he got 26% of the vote.)

Assuming that Obama does win PA, McCain only needs one of the other two to win. Obama would need both.


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