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Lee wouldn't have known what you're talking about. It simply wouldn't have occurred to him to chose sides based on who looked likely to win.
But is should have occurred to him that he was an officer in the United States Army. That in itself should have trumped his decision to command the South based on his allegiance to his home state of Virginia.
I suppose we could blame the Virginia legislature who voted to secede but Lee as a Union commander would have been even more glorious. Possibly even shorten the war by a year. Can you imagine Lee in command of the Union at the only battle of Bull Run/Manassas? In charge of the union at Antietam and then pursuing the rebels after the battle? Or at Chancellorville, Petersburg?
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It was a wonderful community with some very enjoyable members. But the vast majority were like German housewives circa 1943 prenteding that horrib;le smell wafting through their open windowsd was just the neighbors having a cookout..--Windsock